Surface a dead OAuth grant instead of reporting it as connected

With the cancelled-context bug fixed, the refresh actually reaches Google and
the real state of the Google Tasks grant becomes visible: it answers
invalid_grant. The stored refresh token has been dead since roughly 2026-08-16.
The earlier bug had been masking this — the refresh never got far enough to be
rejected.

Settings treated the presence of a token row as "Connected", so it reported
Google Tasks as connected for a month while every fetch failed. A refresh
failure is now persisted (migration 035 adds last_error/last_error_at to
oauth_tokens) and cleared on the next success, and settings reports "connected"
only when there is no recorded failure.

invalid_grant is classified specially, because it is the one failure retrying
cannot fix: the message tells the user to reconnect, and notes that a weekly
recurrence means the OAuth client is still in Testing publishing status, where
Google expires refresh tokens after seven days. Other errors — a network blip,
a 5xx — are left as transient rather than pushing the user through consent
needlessly.

Reconnecting at /settings is still a manual step; nothing here can perform
consent on the user's behalf.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_018AwnALZL6bD4VBtATDVv3B

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